Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001489 0.001570 0.001653 0.001744 0.001842 0.001945 0.002060
2025-06-08 0.001368 0.001484 0.001607 0.001749 0.001908 0.002082 0.002287
2025-06-15 0.001269 0.001406 0.001556 0.001734 0.001941 0.002174 0.002459
2025-06-22 0.001198 0.001350 0.001521 0.001729 0.001976 0.002263 0.002627
2025-06-29 0.001133 0.001295 0.001481 0.001712 0.001993 0.002328 0.002763
2025-07-06 0.001077 0.001246 0.001443 0.001692 0.002002 0.002380 0.002883
2025-07-13 0.001016 0.001187 0.001390 0.001650 0.001979 0.002388 0.002946
2025-07-20 0.000985 0.001163 0.001376 0.001654 0.002013 0.002469 0.003103
2025-07-27 0.000959 0.001144 0.001368 0.001664 0.002053 0.002556 0.003273
2025-08-03 0.000941 0.001133 0.001368 0.001685 0.002107 0.002663 0.003476
2025-08-10 0.000914 0.001109 0.001351 0.001680 0.002126 0.002724 0.003615
2025-08-17 0.000879 0.001073 0.001317 0.001652 0.002112 0.002737 0.003686
2025-08-24 0.000849 0.001044 0.001292 0.001638 0.002119 0.002785 0.003816
2025-08-31 0.000829 0.001028 0.001284 0.001645 0.002156 0.002878 0.004021
2025-09-07 0.000802 0.001002 0.001262 0.001632 0.002164 0.002927 0.004162
2025-09-14 0.000780 0.000982 0.001246 0.001627 0.002182 0.002991 0.004329
2025-09-21 0.000756 0.000957 0.001223 0.001611 0.002183 0.003031 0.004459
2025-09-28 0.000733 0.000933 0.001200 0.001593 0.002180 0.003062 0.004575
2025-10-05 0.000704 0.000900 0.001163 0.001554 0.002143 0.003039 0.004599
2025-10-12 0.000690 0.000889 0.001157 0.001559 0.002172 0.003120 0.004806
2025-10-19 0.000680 0.000880 0.001153 0.001567 0.002208 0.003213 0.005039
2025-10-26 0.000672 0.000876 0.001157 0.001587 0.002260 0.003336 0.005335
2025-11-02 0.000658 0.000862 0.001145 0.001582 0.002275 0.003397 0.005520